Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 27)

In June 2024, according to OPEC, Nigeria's oil production increased by 25,000 barrels per day (bpd), bringing the total output to 1.276 million bpd. This follows an earlier decrease in May 2024, when oil production fell by 30,000 bpd to 1.251 million bpd. Despite these gains, Nigeria's oil production remains below OPEC's 2024 quota of 1.38 million bpd and the Nigerian government's 2024 budget benchmark of 1.78 million bpd for the year. This suggests Nigeria is still not producing enough oil to meet its budgetary expectations. Ongoing issues such as crude oil theft, oil bunkering, illegal refining, and operational disruptions continue to hinder the country’s full production potential. The government must implement strict measures against oil bunkering and production disruptions to address these challenges and enhance production sustainability. Additionally, the government should encourage private participation in the oil sector, especially in oil infrastructure, to increase the refining capacity in the country and ensure transparency and efficiency in the sector. Efforts to increase oil production will bolster government fiscal space, which in turn, will enable the government to invest in infrastructure that would unlock new industries, thereby, reducing future dependence on oil for revenue and exchange earnings