According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), capital importation to Nigeria in Q3 2023 stood at $654.65 million, indicating a 36.45 percent decline from $1.03 billion recorded in Q2 2023 and a 43.55 percent decline from $1.16 billion recorded in Q3 2022. The Q3 2023 value is the lowest Nigeria has recorded in any quarter over the last 10 years. This dip in capital importation could be traced to the challenges with foreign exchange which has dipped the confidence of investors and recently led to the exit of some international firms.
January 11, 2024
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 1)
Latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report by the International Monetary Fund reveals that Nigerias economy will grow by 1.9 percent in 2018 an unchanged stance from earlier projections. However, the figure is 2.9 percentage points lower than the 4.8 percent 2018 estimated growth rate in Nigerias ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) 2 showing a very large disparity between domestic and international growth forecasts for Nigeria. The Funds projection however seems to have taken into cognizance underlying factors that could slow growth in the medium term: faster pace of population growth relative to GDP growth3, poor policy implementation, banking system fragilities and foreign exchange market segmentation.
Nigerias domestic crude production increased significantly in April 2017. OPECs Month-on-Month data shows a 22.6 percent increase to 1.5 million barrels per day constituting the biggest increase among oil producing group. Crude production increased at the backdrop of completion of scheduled maintenance/repairs at the Bonga oil field, implying resumption of crude production by an additional 225,000 barrels. Remarkably, Nigeria is progressively moving towards meeting daily output benchmark/target (2.2 million barrels per day). Given recent boost in domestic crude oil production, considerable effort should be made to improve the countrys refining capacity in order to reduce fuel importation and conserve foreign exchange.