February 8, 2024

Nigeria Economic Update(Issue 3)

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Inflation report for December 2023, revealed that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate rose to 28.92 percent. On a Year-on-Year (YoY) basis, the figure is 7.58 percentage points higher compared to 21.34 percent recorded in December 2022 and 0.72 percentage points higher than 28.20 percent recorded in November 2023. The inflation rate is 11.76 percentage points higher than the 2023 budget assumption of 17.16 percent. The food inflation rate rose to 33.93 percent from 23.75 percent in December 2022, representing 10.18 percentage points increase.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 24)

Crude oil price increased, in the week under review, to its highest price in 2016. Nigerias bonny light increased by $1.38 from $48.02 per barrel on May 20, 2016 to $49.64 per barrel on May 27, 2016, while Brent crude was sold for $50 per barrel on May 26, 2016. The catalyst for price gains in the period under review is the supply-side contractions, with unplanned production shortages in Nigeria, Canada and Iraq. The upward trend of prices may unlock more supplies in subsequent weeks, but the OPEC meeting scheduled for June 2, 2016, could moderate the effect. Nigeria is expected to benefit from crude oil price rising above the $38 per barrel benchmark. Unfortunately, supply disruptions continue to negatively affect oil revenue and may have contributed to the depletion of external reserve by over $153 millionthis week. The federal government, in collaboration with relevant security agencies, should find a lasting solution to the vandalism of oil pipelines and production facilities.