Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

October 31, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 45)

Recently
released report by Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency
Initiative (NEITI)shows a significant decline in revenue
allocation across the three tiers of government for 2016H1 (January to June). Specifically, total disbursements dropped
(year-on-year) by 30.45 percent to N2.01 trillion in 2016H1. The
drop in revenue allocations is accountable to the decline in both oil and
non-oil revenue. While lower oil revenue was triggered by the drastic fall in
oil price and production in 2016H1, lower non-oil revenue was driven by the decline
in tax revenue occasioned by contraction in economic activities in the review
half-year.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 16)

Nigerias Bonny light price declined by 7.1 percent from $40.19 per barrel on March 24, 2016 to $37.32 per barrel on April 1, 20162. OPEC weekly basket price also decreased by 3 percent from $35.81 per barrel to $34.74 per barrel within the same period3. The remerged downward trend in crude oil price is traceable to concerns over the likely failure of the oil production freeze deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran4. The outcome of the oil production freeze meeting which is scheduled to hold on April 17, 2016, will give further direction for oil supply regulation.