Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
![](https://cseaafrica.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Nigeria-Economic-Update-Issue-48-2615.jpg)
November 25, 2016
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 48)
Crude
oil price decreased in the review week. OPEC weekly basket price reduced by 3.5
percent to $42.06per barrel from November 4, 2016 to November 11,
2016, while Nigerias bonny light price decreased by 1.1 percent to $44.36per barrel in the same period. Global oil market refocused on oversupply, as
indicated in the OPECs October crude data figures (global OPEC and Non-OPEC
oil supply grew by 0.97mb/day to average 96.32mb/day and outpaced demand by
1.92mb/day).
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 51)
According to figures released by the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics, employment growth lagged during the recession period, and worsened unemployment/underemployment rates few quarters after. Specifically, unemployment rate rose to 18.8 percent in 2017Q31, up from 16.2 percent in previous quarter (the recession-exit quarter) and 13.9 percent in corresponding quarter. Disaggregated figures reveal that the number of unemployed and underemployed persons in the labour force increased by 17 percent and 2 percent respectively, to 15.9 million and 18.0 million in 2017Q3, majority of which are young persons within ages 15-34.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 1)
The
external reserve increased week-on-week by 2 percent to $26.3 billion on
January 6, 2017. The increase was likely triggered by continued
marginal rise in crude oil price, which moderated oil revenue in the review
week. The recent rise in crude oil price is likely to be maintained in the
short term given the recent oil production cut deal by OPEC members. Thus, the Nigerian
government should target short term increase in crude oil production to fully
take advantage of Nigerias exemption from oil production cut and potential
rise in oil prices.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 27)
The
Naira strengthened against the dollar in the review week. Specifically, the
Naira appreciated by 2.7 percent to N355/$ (parallel market rate) on June 17, 2016,
following the release of the flexible FOREX policy guidelines by the CBN on
June 15, 2016. The new policy effectively adopts a single market structure
hosted at the autonomous/inter-bank market. The inter-bank trading scheduled to
commence on June 20, 2016 will be market-determined, officially eliminating the
N197/$ peg. To ensure foreign exchange liquidity, primary market dealers have
been introduced while the CBN will participate in the market through periodic interventions.