Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

October 4, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 40)

OPEC
weekly basket price declined by 2.4 percent to $42.68/barrel on September 16,
2016. This was triggered by a rise in US oil reserve, amid an
outlook on weak global oil demand. Similarly, provisional data by
OPEC reveals a steady decline in Nigerias crude oil production. Notably, production
declined by 3.4 percent to 1.47 mbd in August, 2016.

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Portfolio Diversification Between Developed And Less Developed Economies

This study examines the hedging effectiveness of portfolio investment diversification between developed and developing economies; with focus on the Nigerian stock asset vis--vis the stock assets of the United States (US) and United Kingdom (UK). Its main contribution is in the analysis of optimal portfolio diversification using optimal portfolio weight (OPW) and optimal hedging ratio (OHR). Empirical findings show that the OPW and OHR are low, which indicates impressive potential gains from combining Nigerian stock assets in an investment portfolio with US and UK stock assets. In addition, exchange rate volatility is found to pose stern limitation on the potential benefits of this portfolio diversification arrangement. It is therefore recommended that the monetary authority in Nigeria should pursue policies towards reducing exchange rate volatility to the barest minimum. This will possibly attract more investors from developed economies who might be willing to combine Nigerian stock in their investment portfolio to minimize portfolio risk.