Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

June 17, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 26)

The All-Share index
(ASI) and Market Capitalization both depreciated (week-on-week) by 1.45 percent
for the second consecutive trading week- June 3, 2016 to June 10, 20166.
ASI depreciated by 401.8 points from 27,634.42 points to 27,232.62 points,
while Market Capitalization declined by N140billion from N9.49 trillion closing
the week at N9.35 trillion. All other indices declined, with the exception of NSE
ASem Index, NSE Insurance Index, and NSE oil/Gas Index. The delay in the
implementation of proposed forex policy continues to adversely affect stock
market performance. However, with growing speculations that the new FOREX
guidelines would be released in the succeeding week, market indices could
perform better subsequently. Hence, monetary authorities should ensure the timely
release and implementation of the new FOREX policy to boost investors
confidence in the near term and ensure price stability in the capital market.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 12)

The naira/dollar exchange rate remained largely stable at the parallel market at ?320/$ during the period7, albeit slight fluctuations on February 29, 2016 (?325/$) and March 2, 2016 (?328/$). The decline in the hoarding of foreign currency as well as the substantial reduction in the speculative demand for dollars were the two key factors responsible for the ease of fluctuations in the forex market8. With the slight increase in the price of crude oil, Nigerias foreign reserve slightly grew by $56 million, from 27.81 billion to $27.84 billion9. With the continued increase in the price of crude oil, a modest build-up of foreign reserve to guard against unfavourable commodity price movements is expected in the near term.

Africa Economic Update (Issue 1)

Sub-Saharan Africa experienced its worst economic performance in over two decades in 2016, with growth slowing to 1.5 percent. The poor performance in South Africa and oil exporting countries is responsible for attenuating regional growth rate, due to their high collective contribution to regional GDP, despite robust performance in non-resource intensive countries. Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to slightly improve in 2017 (2.9 percent) and further strengthen in 2018 (3.6 percent). At the sub-regional level, growth prospect is estimated to be highest in West Africa (4.78 percent), attributable to 5.93 percent growth rate from West African Monetary Union (WAEMU) Countries. East Africa is expected to grow at 4.5 percent, Southern Africa 3 percent, and Central Africa 2 percent. Agricultural exporting countries are projected to grow at around 7 percent, while oil producing countries are estimated to grow at 1.9 percent, which indicates a recovery from the negative growth recorded in 2016.