Policy Brief & Alerts
August 22, 2017
An Analysis Of The Nigerian Economic Growth And Recovery Plan
This Paper examines the response of the Nigerian government to the ongoing recession in
the domestic economy, particularly in the context of the recently released Economic
Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) for 2017-2020. It also provides an analysis of
key questions regarding the suitability, achievability, and prospect of the
ERGP. The second section of the brief runs through the state of the Nigerian
economy with a focus on the cause and drivers of the ongoing recession. The
third section reviews the objectives, implementation strategy, and expected
outcomes of the ERGP over the medium-term. The fourth section weighs on the
potentials of the ERGP by analyzing some pertinent questions: Is the proposed
recovery plan and policies well-targeted to address prevailing economic crises
in Nigerian economy?
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 28)
OPEC
weekly basket price increased marginally from $45.09 on June 17, 2016 to $45.95
on June 24, 2016, while Nigerias bonny light increased from $47.61
to $48.90 (with a peak of $49.2 on June 23, 2016)within the same
period. The rise in oil price, amidst downward pressures, was likely driven by
expectations that the UK would remain in the EU. However, price fell (to
$47.61) on June 24, 2016 following the outcome of the UK referendum (on June
23, 2016) to leave the EU. This was driven by concerns over a possible
contagion effect of further disintegration on the EU (a major oil consumer) which
could drive down oil demand in the longer term. In the medium term, oil prices could face
further pressure as a result of rising crude oil output and attenuating production
disruptions in Canada and Nigeria. Although, the recent rise in oil prices seem
transient, Nigeria can benefit from the marginal rise if disruptions in oil production
is quickly resolved