Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
May 30, 2017
Africa Economic Update (Issue 4)
International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised down growth forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa by 0.2 percentage points, while retaining growth estimates for Nigeria and South Africa in 2017. Precisely, growth rate forecast for Africa was reduced from 2.8 percent in January 2017 forecast to 2.6 percent in April 2017 forecast while growth estimates were retained at 0.8 percent for both South Africa and Nigeria. In contrast, global economic growth outlook was increased by 0.4 percentage points from 3.1 percent to 3.5 percent within the same period. Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is hampered by adverse cyclical and supply side factors, weak fiscal buffers and rising public debt amongst non-commodity exporters as well as severe drought was experienced in Eastern and Southern Africa
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 37)
Recent
data by the CBN shows a decline in manufacturing capacity utilization by 2.0
percentage points to 50.7 percent in 2016Q2. Foreign exchange
challenges in addition to cash squeeze in the review quarter, led to the
decline in capacity utilization. This has hindered activities in the sector
while impacting negatively on business confidence. Nonetheless, the CBN
recently directed authorized FX dealers to dedicate 60 percent of FX purchases
to manufacturers. This policy measure is therefore expected to meet
the sectors critical FX need for the purchase of imported raw material and
other machineries, while boosting the potential for economic growth in the long
term.