Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

September 25, 2017

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 37)

OPEC Monthly oil report reveals that Nigeria
recorded the highest month-on-month increase in crude oil production among the
OPEC member countries in August 2017. Specifically, at an increasing rate of 8
percent, domestic oil production rose to pre-2016 level of 1.86 million barrels
per day in August 2017. With ongoing repairs in the sector, oil
production could get to 2.2 million barrels per day in the near term, albeit
the prior voluntary agreement to cap production at 1.8 million barrels per day.
Going forward, there is need to address poor planning and policy
inconsistencies in the sector, in order to ensure the influx of investors who
have channeled their investments to other African countries due to laxity in
policies in the sector.

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Africa Economic Update (Issue 1)

Sub-Saharan Africa experienced its worst economic performance in over two decades in 2016, with growth slowing to 1.5 percent. The poor performance in South Africa and oil exporting countries is responsible for attenuating regional growth rate, due to their high collective contribution to regional GDP, despite robust performance in non-resource intensive countries. Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to slightly improve in 2017 (2.9 percent) and further strengthen in 2018 (3.6 percent). At the sub-regional level, growth prospect is estimated to be highest in West Africa (4.78 percent), attributable to 5.93 percent growth rate from West African Monetary Union (WAEMU) Countries. East Africa is expected to grow at 4.5 percent, Southern Africa 3 percent, and Central Africa 2 percent. Agricultural exporting countries are projected to grow at around 7 percent, while oil producing countries are estimated to grow at 1.9 percent, which indicates a recovery from the negative growth recorded in 2016.

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