A recently released CBN report indicates a weakened business outlook of -66.2 points for the month of May. The agriculture and service sectors are the worst hit, recording a decline in activity of -37.7 index point for May. According to the survey the pessimism is maintained in June as businesses expect an economic outlook of -4.22. The employment outlook is pessimistic across the construction, manufacturing, agriculture, and service sectors as employment is expected to decline by -18.5, -10.9, and -4.1 points respectively. The weakened outlook towards the macroeconomy results from limited economic activity with businesses that are import and/or export-oriented and those that are neither import nor export-oriented expressing pessimism. Considering that the factors that constrain business activity including power supply insufficiencies, access to finance and credit, high-interest rate, and insufficient demand are still present, the business outlook in the coming months is expected to continue to weaken considerably.
June 21, 2020
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 23)
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 36)
Power sector statistics
show a significant increase in power generated from August 12 to August 19,
2016. Precisely, power generated increased by 2.2 percent to 3953.6MW(a
4-month high). Increased water reserves in dams for hydro generating plants occasioned
by seasonal adjustments (rainy season), led to improved power generation.
Additionally, in a bid to further improve and sustain power generation, the
federal government received a $100 million credit facility from India.
However, consistent power supply could be jeopardized if the development is not
aided by improved distribution by DISCOs.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 35)
Nigeria's Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 0.55 percent in 2017Q21, compared to the -0.91 percent (revised) in 2017Q1 indicating the first quarterly positive growth rate since 2016Q1 and an evidenced exit from five quarters of economic recession. The acceleration in real GDP in 2017Q2 reflects the significant increase in oil sector GDP from -11.64 percent in 2017Q1, to 1.64 percent in 2017Q2 a 13.3 percentage points Quarter-on-Quarter increase. However, Non-oil GDP moderated by 0.3 percentage points to 0.45 percent. Despite the recent favorable economic performance, growth prospect remains fragile.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 11)
Recently released report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) indicates price increase of selected food items for the month of February 2017, relative to January 2017. Specifically, prices of the selected 24 food items ranged from N47.42 N1, 812 in January to N42.90 N1, 955.10 in February 2017. Average price of all selected items increased month-on-month by 2.7 percent to N540.05. Non-seasonal agriculture factors such as rising cost of crop production, imported products, and transportation continue to drive domestic food prices higher as domestic food supply contracts. This is also reflective of the high food inflation rate in February (18.53 percent) relative to 17.82 percent recorded in January 2017. Strengthening Nigerias crude oil production, supporting local agricultural production, and improving forex policies to straighten the naira remain critical in improving food supply and reducing inflation.