Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

March 11, 2018

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 9)

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), maintained positive growth rate two quarters after emergence from recession in 2017Q2, thus consolidating the recovery process. Specifically, real GDP grew by 1.92 percent in 2017Q4, a slight increase from the 1.40 percent in the previous quarter and a huge recovery compared to the contraction (-1.73 percent) during the corresponding […]

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Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), maintained positive growth rate two quarters after emergence from recession in 2017Q2, thus consolidating the recovery process. Specifically, real GDP grew by 1.92 percent in 2017Q4, a slight increase from the 1.40 percent in the previous quarter and a huge recovery compared to the contraction (-1.73 percent) during the corresponding quarter in 2016. Notably, the 2017 fiscal year recorded an annual real GDP growth rate of 0.83 percent, significantly increasing Year-on-Year by 2.41 percentage points.

 



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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 41)

Latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report by the International Monetary Fund reveals that Nigerias economy will grow by 1.9 percent in 2018 an unchanged stance from earlier projections. However, the figure is 2.9 percentage points lower than the 4.8 percent 2018 estimated growth rate in Nigerias ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) 2 showing a very large disparity between domestic and international growth forecasts for Nigeria. The Funds projection however seems to have taken into cognizance underlying factors that could slow growth in the medium term: faster pace of population growth relative to GDP growth3, poor policy implementation, banking system fragilities and foreign exchange market segmentation.

Counting the costs: the diverse impact of the pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa

Balance Of Trade (Export And Import)

Balance of Trade (Export and Import): With export and, to lesser extent, import declining balance of trade fell deeply in 2015 and, to lesser extent, in 2016Q1.

Fuel Subsidy Reform, Social Safety Nets (SSNs) And Pro-poor Growth

The paper examines the importance of fuel subsidy reforms and how the Nigerian government can achieve a successful reform. It also examines the link between safety nets and growth to help facilitate reform and inclusive growth.