Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

May 10, 2017

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 15)

Nigerian
Naira depreciated by 1.2 percent at the parallel foreign exchange market
between April 7, 2017 and April 14, 2017. The naira exchanged at N410/$ as
against N405/$ the previous week. Despite the CBNs weekly dollar
sales to BDCs ($20,000 to each BDC in the review week) and spot market sales of
$100 million to SMEs, the nairas depreciated in the week. This may
likely be attributable to speculative motives (on the basis that speculators
likely anticipate that the CBN forex interventions may not be sustainable).

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 8)

The falling tide in the international value of Naira experienced a reversal in the review week with naira appreciating significantly by 11 percent from N516/$ on February 17, 2017 to N460/$ on February 24, 2017 at the parallel market the first appreciation since December 2016. The recent rise in naira value was driven by forex supply-demand gap closure, sequel to improvements in dollar liquidity. The recent CBN Special intervention (e.g. the auction and sale of $370 million and $1.5 million respectively, by the apex bank during the week) and its revised forex policy guidelinescontributed in dousing speculations in the parallel market, thus gradually narrowing the margin between the interbank and parallel market rates. Given that the sustainability of naira appreciation is strongly hinged on the improvement in foreign reserve which is largely dependent on crude oil sales, the government should continue its efforts at calming tensions in the Niger Delta region.

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