Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
October 4, 2016
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 41)
The
naira continued its downward trajectory in the review week. Specifically, naira
depreciated significantly at the parallel segment by 3.5 percent to a record
low of N440/$ on September 23, 2016. Notably, this was driven by
the worsening liquidity constraints at the interbank market which left the
excess forex demand to be sourced at the parallel market, and thus exerted
downward pressure on the naira. The naira is likely to further
weaken given that most of the liquidity constraints are exogenously determined
and thus forex supply will likely remain subdued by its demand.
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 40)
OPEC
weekly basket price declined by 2.4 percent to $42.68/barrel on September 16,
2016. This was triggered by a rise in US oil reserve, amid an
outlook on weak global oil demand. Similarly, provisional data by
OPEC reveals a steady decline in Nigerias crude oil production. Notably, production
declined by 3.4 percent to 1.47 mbd in August, 2016.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 38)
Recent
NBS data on Nigerias real GDP growth rate declined from -0.36 percent in
2016Q1 to -2.06 percent in 2016Q2. With negative GDP growth rate in
two consecutive quarters, Nigeria records its first recession in 23 years. Both
the oil and non-oil sectors continued to contract by -15.59 and -0.20
percentage points, respectively, relative to preceding quarter. The worsening
growth rate in the oil sector was largely driven by the decline in domestic crude
oil production by 14.5 percent relative to preceding quarter