Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

June 9, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 25)

Crude oil price continued to increase in the
period under review, reaching its 2016 peak at $50.30 on June 2, 2016.
Specifically, OPEC weekly basket price increased by 1.43 percent from $44.65 on
May 27, 2016 to $45.29 on June 3, 2016. Brent was sold for $49.96
on June 3, 2016. The present rise in crude oil price can be
attributed to oil production shocks in several oil-exporting countries, and the
general expectation of a further cut in output following the OPEC meeting in
Vienna on June 2, 2016. However, the OPEC meeting ended with no agreement on
production quotas. In Nigeria, oil production level increased in the period
under review, following repairs on some of the damaged oil and gas facilities. Precisely,
Nigerias output increased by 200,000 barrels on June 3, 2016 to 1.6 million
barrels.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 49)

Nigerias Petroleum Products Imports statistics show a gradual reduction in the volume and value of petroleum imports (PMS, AGO, HHK) between May and September 2016. Specifically, volume of imports declined by 34.1 percent for PMS, 37.6 percent for AGO, and 60.3 percent for HHK in the period.The significant decline in imports in the reporting periods may be as a result of persistent forex scarcity issues faced by importers. On account of stagnation in domestic production of refined petroleum products, continuous decline in oil imports may create a demand gap with upward pressure on gasoline prices in the economy.