June 5, 2020

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 21)

A recently released NBS report indicated a 20.92% rise in Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) in 2019. The year on year rise saw total IGR hit ₦1.33 trillion. The rise was largely driven by revenue generated from income tax which accounted for 60.7% of IGR. Lagos state as the highest contributor with ₦398.73 billion accounted for 29.88% of total revenue generated2.  On the other hand, Taraba state was the lowest contributor with ₦53.04 billion. The improvement in tax compliance stands to make provision for state-level fiscal sustainability as well as a continued increase in total IGR. State governments can leverage on the fall in demand for oil to identify innovations and muster the political will required to expand their IGR base.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 22)

Available data from Nigeria Bureau of Statistics shows a decline in the Nigeria Aviation sub-sector (Transport Sector) real growth rate in 2017Q1. Compared to the preceding quarter, the sub-sector declined significantly by 9.6 percent, due to decline in the number of passengers and movement of aircrafts this may be connected to the closure of the Abuja airport for infrastructural development during the period. To ensure a near-optimal performance of the aviation sector, the government should also make efforts to improve aviation safety and security, establish a national carrier, and improve aircraft maintenance to world class standards.  

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 11)

In the crude oil market, OPECs weekly basket price increased 1.07 percent from $29.02 per barrel in February 19 to $29.33 per barrel in February 26. A combination of factors were responsible for the slight price increase. First, a decrease in the number of active oil rigs in the US2 (the lowest since 2009) may have marginally eased the glut in the crude oil market. The ongoing efforts by OPEC and other major oil producers such as Russia to freeze oil production have also played a significant role in stemming the downward trend in oil prices. With the current market conditions, the price of crude oil is expected to maintain a fairly stable and modest upward trajectory in the near term.