Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 21)

In its latest report, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) indicated that the national average cost of a
healthy diet (CoHD) for April 2024 has risen to N1,035 per day, representing a 5.4% increase from N982
recorded in the previous month. The CoHD represents the least expensive combination of locally available food items that meet the global consistent food-based dietary and nutritional guidelines, indicating that an average Nigerian must spend N1,035 daily to maintain a healthy diet.

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Towards A Sustainable Regional Data Governance Model In Africa

Data governance has emerged as a central tenet for countries, not only to realise the benefits of digital revolution but also to mitigate the growing risks and threats that emanate from the digital space. Over the last decade, the number of African countries with at least a form of data protection/regulation policy has increased from 12 in 2012 to 36 in 2024. However, the national approach to data governance has its limits, particularly in African countries with low digital development and a high dominance of global digital platform firms.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 20)

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.98 percent in Q1 2024, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points from the 3.46 percent growth rate recorded in Q4 2023. However, it is 0.67 percentage points higher than 2.31 percent growth rate recorded in Q1 2023. At the disaggregated level, in Q1 2024, services accounted for 58.04 percent of the GDP, the agricultural sector accounted for 21.07 percent, and the industrial sector contributed 20.89 percent.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 19)

According to the latest consumer price index (CPI) and inflation report by the National Bureau of Statistics
(NBS), Nigeria’s headline inflation has surged to 33.69%. This reflects a 0.49% points increase from the
previous month's rate of 33.20% and an 11.47% points increase compared to the 22.22% recorded in April 2023. The urban and rural inflation rate rose to 36% and 31.64% respectively. Additionally, food inflation
soared to 40.53%, representing a 15.92% points increase from 24.61% recorded in April 2023.

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    Debt for Climate and Development Swaps in Nigeria

    Africa’s largest economy has found itself in an increasingly vulnerable financial position due to several shocks in the past decade. It relied on private creditors to compensate for revenue shortfalls in 2016 and 2017 after the collapse of commodity prices. The COVID-19 pandemic induced more borrowing, this time from multilateral sources. These events have led to the highest external debt levels in Nigeria since 2004.

    Increased debt levels clogged financing for key SDG outcomes relating to social welfare sectors more broadly and gender equality and the environment in particular. This paper explored the need for, viability of, and impacts of debt swaps in Nigeria. It focused on two sources of debt that are mostly likely to be involved in a debt swap: Paris Club ODA debt and underperforming private sector debt. These two sources together comprise a sum of more than $3.7 billion whose exchange could free up resources to fund development priorities for facilitators of the debt swap. If the entirety of the eligible debt were to be swapped, it would create an average of nearly $300 million of budgetary resources (per year) for the next six years. Beyond funding development projects, remaining funds could decrease the debt burden, provided they do not beget additional borrowing. The paper also traced the experiences of five countries participating in debt-for-nature swaps.

    This Paper was first published by RED SUR as part of the Working Paper of the Project “Promoting a pandemic recovery: evidence to support managing the growing debt crisis” (IDRC - Red Sur N° 109742-001)

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    Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 18)

    According to the most recent Cadre Harmonise (CH) report released by the International Rescue
    Committee (IRC), in collaboration with other international organizations, 16% of Nigerians (approximately 31.8 million persons) are expected to face severe food crisis between June – August 2024. The Cadre Harmonisé (CH) analysis is a tool used to assess food security and nutrition situations in the Sahel and
    West Africa region.

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    Nigerian Economic Update (Issue 17)

    The continuous increase in food inflation now at 40.2% has further worsened the welfare of Nigerians, as food becomes more expensive. The latest Selected Food Prices Watch for March 2024 by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that the average price of 1kg of locally produced rice stood at N1340.74. This represents an increase of about 152.93% YoY from N530.08 recorded in March 2023 and a 9.63% increase MoM. The report also highlighted that the average price of 1kg of beef boneless increased by 73.78% YoY from N2479.61 to N4309.16 and 17.91% MoM; Beans brown also increased by 106.78% YoY from N596.96 in March 2023 to N1234.40 in March 2024 and 4.79% MoM.

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    Nigeria Economic Snapshot (May 2024)

    This snapshot for May 2024 provides trends, and insights on key macroeconomic indicators such as Inflation, foreign reserves, currency in circulation and crude oil prices.

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    Nigerian Economic Update (Issue 16)

    The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), in a recent letter, has announced the reduction of the Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) of commercial banks from 75 percent to 50 percent, indicating a decline of 15 percentage points. The LDR, a tool used by the CBN to influence the lending behaviour of commercial banks, is the ratio of a bank’s total loans to its total deposits. A low LDR means banks will lend out smaller portions of its deposits, and vice versa. The central bank’s move to reduce the value of LDR is part of its approach to maintain monetary tightening in the economy.

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