February 21, 2020

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 6)

The market indices at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) closed downward in the trading week ended 7th February, 2020. The bearish market recorded a decline in the All-Share Index (ASI) and market capitalization index by 2.69% and 1.61%, closing at 28,067.09 points and N14.618 trillion respectively1. All other market indices depreciated with the exception of the NSE Insurance and NSE Alternative Securities Market (ASeM) Index. The worst hit were the NSE Industrial Good Index and NSE-Meristem Value Index which declined by 4.07% and 3.94% respectively. Significant losses were recorded in both medium and large capitalized stocks such as MTN Nigeria and Nestle Nigeria. Given the global economic slowdown due to the coronavirus outbreak as well as banks reluctance in lending to the real sector, the NSE market is expected to continue on a downward trend. While investors are advised to take advantage of the lower price of equities by purchasing shares of listed companies, the Securities Exchange Commission should adopt more robust and strong regulations, specifically the recapitalization of capital market operators. This will strengthen the resilience of operators and ensure that Nigeria‚Äôs capital market is globally competitive. 

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 3)

Recently released inflation rate report by the NBS shows a further decline in consumer price index in December 2017. At 15.37 percent, the CPI was 0.53 percentage points lower than the 15.90 percent recorded in November 2017. The food sub-index decreased to 19.42 percent from 20.21 percent, indicating reduced pressure on food prices in the review period. Core sub-index fell slightly to 12.1 percent from 12.21 percent in the preceding month. Going forward, the ability of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to control inflation in 2018 may be hampered by monetary injections by the government and politicians towards budgetary expenditure and election campaigns, respectively.

All-Share Index And Market Capitalization

All-Share Index: In 2016Q1, the decline in ASI was driven by declines in Banking, Insurance, Consumer goods, Oil/Gas, Lotus Islamic, Industrial, AseM, Pension and Premium NSE indices. However, the ASI