Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

November 7, 2016
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 46)
The
Executive council recently approved a three-year external borrowing plan
(2016-2018) which specifies external borrowing of approximately $30 billion (to
be sourced mostly from MDBs) for infrastructure development.
Although, the plan is yet to be approved by the Senate, the planned concessional
loans for infrastructural development would imply inflows of foreign exchange which
could help moderate the exchange rate volatilities in the near term, and offer
potential improvement in business productivity and job creation.
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 41)
The
naira continued its downward trajectory in the review week. Specifically, naira
depreciated significantly at the parallel segment by 3.5 percent to a record
low of N440/$ on September 23, 2016. Notably, this was driven by
the worsening liquidity constraints at the interbank market which left the
excess forex demand to be sourced at the parallel market, and thus exerted
downward pressure on the naira. The naira is likely to further
weaken given that most of the liquidity constraints are exogenously determined
and thus forex supply will likely remain subdued by its demand.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 4)
Recently released power sector report by the
National Bureau of Statistics records a total average energy generation of 2,548GWH
by 25 power stations, from October 2016 to December 2016. Daily
Energy generation, attained the 2016Q4 highest level of 3,859.6MW in October
2016, and a lowest level of 2522MW in the same month. On the average, current
daily energy generated which is below 3,000MW, prompts system malfunctions.
Thus, the irregular power generation and supply experienced in recent times is
attributable to shortage of gas owing to non-functional major pipelines, in
addition to the inability of GENCOs to make payments for the available gas
supply. Given the recent challenges to power supply, efforts should
be geared towards the diversification of electricity generation. Government
should consider investment in renewable as well as coal energy to complement
gas power supply.