Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

April 28, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 17)

Power sector analysis shows a decline
in power generated by 8.5 percent from a peak of 3,675 mw to 3,362 mw between
April 3, 2016 and April 10, 20169. This record is however still
below 5,074.7 mw- the highest peak ever attained in the country. The declining
power supply which has been attributed to vandalism of pipelines and gas
shortages, has continued to distort economic activities in the country. With
the persistent fall in electricity generation, the possibility of attaining the
targeted 10,000 mw by 201910 seems unattainable. A clear strategy towards
increasing power generation and curbing vandalism is urgently needed.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 8)

Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) show that total capital importation in 2015 fell steeply by 53.5 per cent from $20,750.76 million in 2014 to $9,643.01 million in 20152. This decline was largely driven by a substantial drop in portfolio investment (the largest component of Capital Inflows), which fell by 59.74 percent. The exclusion of Nigeria from the JP Morgan EM Bond index, the slump in crude oil prices, the decision of the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates and the capital control measures imposed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) are the notable drivers of the reduced inflow of capital. Going forward, improving the business environment, especially easing foreign exchange controls, would determine the extent to which the economy can attract increased capital inflows.