Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 23)

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) report on value-added tax (VAT), in Q1 2024,
Nigeria realised N1.43 trillion in revenue from VAT,representing a quarter-on-quarter growth rate of 19.21% from N1.20 trillion recorded in Q4 2023. Year-on-year, VAT doubled from N709.6 billion in Q1 2023,highlighting significant tax revenue growth, which indicates a rebound in economic activities. Also, the growth suggests expansion in VAT collection and an increase in the average prices of goods and services.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 22)

In May 2024, oil production in Nigeria dropped by 30,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 1.25 million bpd, according to OPEC's latest report. This decline puts Nigeria even further behind OPEC's 2024 production quota of 1.38 million bpd and the Federal Government's budgeted benchmark of 1.78 million bpd. This is in addition to the slight drop in the global oil price to $80.96 per barrel, presenting a more challenging situation for the country from both revenue and foreign reserves perspectives.

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Does increasing the Minimum Wage increase inflation?

This brief examines the potential impact of a minimum wage increase in Nigeria, taking into account the current economic state and the factors driving inflation. It also provides a minimum wage recommendation to guide the government and labor unions in reaching a realistic minimum wage.

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Nigeria Economic Snapshot (June 2024)

This snapshot for June 2024 provides trends, and insights on key macroeconomic indicators such as Inflation, foreign reserves, currency in circulation and crude oil prices.

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Africa’s Decent Jobs Problem – Some Policy Options

There is a consensus among policymakers in Africa that high unemployment, especially among youth, is a major impediment to inclusive growth. A recent Afrobarometer survey (Round 9) underscores this concern, revealing that 40 percent of African youth identify unemployment as the primary issue that governments should address. In response, regional and national policies, such as the Job for Youth in Africa program (2016-2025), have been designed to tackle the unemployment problem. However, labor statistics on the continent indicate a more complex situation, where the quality of jobs is a greater concern than their quantity. Quality or decent jobs refers to employment that is "fair, dignified, stable, and secure", as opposed to vulnerable employment. Current estimates place the unemployment rate on the continent at 11.6%, while vulnerable employment reaches as high as 80% in several countries.

 

This brief was written by Adedeji Adenira PhD , Chukwuma Nwofor and Halimat Abdulrazaq

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 21)

In its latest report, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) indicated that the national average cost of a
healthy diet (CoHD) for April 2024 has risen to N1,035 per day, representing a 5.4% increase from N982
recorded in the previous month. The CoHD represents the least expensive combination of locally available food items that meet the global consistent food-based dietary and nutritional guidelines, indicating that an average Nigerian must spend N1,035 daily to maintain a healthy diet.

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Towards A Sustainable Regional Data Governance Model In Africa

Data governance has emerged as a central tenet for countries, not only to realise the benefits of digital revolution but also to mitigate the growing risks and threats that emanate from the digital space. Over the last decade, the number of African countries with at least a form of data protection/regulation policy has increased from 12 in 2012 to 36 in 2024. However, the national approach to data governance has its limits, particularly in African countries with low digital development and a high dominance of global digital platform firms.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 20)

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.98 percent in Q1 2024, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points from the 3.46 percent growth rate recorded in Q4 2023. However, it is 0.67 percentage points higher than 2.31 percent growth rate recorded in Q1 2023. At the disaggregated level, in Q1 2024, services accounted for 58.04 percent of the GDP, the agricultural sector accounted for 21.07 percent, and the industrial sector contributed 20.89 percent.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 19)

According to the latest consumer price index (CPI) and inflation report by the National Bureau of Statistics
(NBS), Nigeria’s headline inflation has surged to 33.69%. This reflects a 0.49% points increase from the
previous month's rate of 33.20% and an 11.47% points increase compared to the 22.22% recorded in April 2023. The urban and rural inflation rate rose to 36% and 31.64% respectively. Additionally, food inflation
soared to 40.53%, representing a 15.92% points increase from 24.61% recorded in April 2023.

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