Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

January 22, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 5)

All Share Index (ASI) and Market
Capitalization declined by 13 percent to close at 23514.04 points and N8.09
trillion respectively at the end of the trade session on January 15.
The huge drop in the Index, representing a 3-year low, led to the introduction
of the Index Circuit Breakers Rule. While this policy measure may
prevent huge losses in the stock market, rising concerns about macroeconomic
stability in Nigeria may significantly increase the level of volatility in the
stock market. This may have substantial adverse implications for investors in
the Stock Exchange.

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Nigeria Economic Review

The global economy grew by 2.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016 (2016Q4) relative to 2.5 percent in 2016Q3, due to rising investment and consumption demands in developed and emerging economies as well as a rise in commodity prices. However, over the entire year, global GDP growth stood at 2.6 percent in 2016, relative to the growth of 3.09 percent recorded in 2015. Notably, output grew progressively in the US over the year, while the steady growth recorded in the UK since the start of the year stalled in 2016Q4. Also, the declining growth recorded in France since 2015 took a positive turn in 2016Q4, the rest of the Eurozone witnessed a fall in output in the quarter. While emerging economies recorded mixed experiences, many Sub-Saharan African countries showed signs of recovery in the period.