Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

January 22, 2016

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 5)

All Share Index (ASI) and Market
Capitalization declined by 13 percent to close at 23514.04 points and N8.09
trillion respectively at the end of the trade session on January 15.
The huge drop in the Index, representing a 3-year low, led to the introduction
of the Index Circuit Breakers Rule. While this policy measure may
prevent huge losses in the stock market, rising concerns about macroeconomic
stability in Nigeria may significantly increase the level of volatility in the
stock market. This may have substantial adverse implications for investors in
the Stock Exchange.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 6)

The nations foreign reserves have been on a steady rise. In the review week, reserves increased by $415.2 million from $28.3 billion on February 3, 2017 to $28.8 billion on February 10, 2017. The increase is likely the reflection of a sustained crude oil revenue complemented by moderating global crude oil price and increasing domestic production. This should help strengthen the ability of the CBN to foster forex liquidity, and thus help maintain stability in the domestic forex market. If sustained, it should also help improve the value of the naira overtime. Hence, the government should implement proactive and effective policy strategies to, not only, sustain improvements in oil revenue but also boost non-oil revenue.

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 3)

Recently released inflation rate report by the NBS shows a further decline in consumer price index in December 2017. At 15.37 percent, the CPI was 0.53 percentage points lower than the 15.90 percent recorded in November 2017. The food sub-index decreased to 19.42 percent from 20.21 percent, indicating reduced pressure on food prices in the review period. Core sub-index fell slightly to 12.1 percent from 12.21 percent in the preceding month. Going forward, the ability of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to control inflation in 2018 may be hampered by monetary injections by the government and politicians towards budgetary expenditure and election campaigns, respectively.