Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
October 31, 2016
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 45)
Recently
released report by Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency
Initiative (NEITI)shows a significant decline in revenue
allocation across the three tiers of government for 2016H1 (January to June). Specifically, total disbursements dropped
(year-on-year) by 30.45 percent to N2.01 trillion in 2016H1. The
drop in revenue allocations is accountable to the decline in both oil and
non-oil revenue. While lower oil revenue was triggered by the drastic fall in
oil price and production in 2016H1, lower non-oil revenue was driven by the decline
in tax revenue occasioned by contraction in economic activities in the review
half-year.
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 41)
Latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report by the International Monetary Fund reveals that Nigerias economy will grow by 1.9 percent in 2018 an unchanged stance from earlier projections. However, the figure is 2.9 percentage points lower than the 4.8 percent 2018 estimated growth rate in Nigerias ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) 2 showing a very large disparity between domestic and international growth forecasts for Nigeria. The Funds projection however seems to have taken into cognizance underlying factors that could slow growth in the medium term: faster pace of population growth relative to GDP growth3, poor policy implementation, banking system fragilities and foreign exchange market segmentation.