December 14, 2020

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 44)

The manufacturing and non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the month of October showed a slowing contraction relative to previous months, making it the 7th consecutive month both indices have been below the 50-index point benchmark.1 Manufacturing PMI increased from 46.9 index points to 49.4 index points while non-manufacturing increased from 41.9 index points to 46.8 index points, but still below the 50-index point benchmark. However, 6 out of 14 subsectors in the manufacturing sector recorded an expansion relative to the previous month. In the non-manufacturing sector, only 3 out of the 7 sub sectors recorded growth relative to the previous month. Production is expected to improve significantly as the economy rebounds and the festive season approaches, thus both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI are expected to advance towards the 50-index point benchmark. However, the increase in PMI, as a result of increased demand, is likely to be associated with rising inflation. As such, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should increase efforts towards addressing the rapid increase in the price of commodities.

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 20)

Power sector analysis shows an increase in power generated by 15.5 percent from 3639.2 megawatt to a peak of 4196.2 megawatt between April 22, 2016 and April 29, 201612, albeit a sharp fall to 25.2 megawatts on April 23, 2016 following a system collapse13. In a bid to attain the targeted 10,000 megawatts by 2019, the Federal Government is set to complete the ongoing 47 power transmission projects across the country, which would boost power supply14. However, the delays in passing the budget into law is a major constraint to the completion of the projects. Thus government needs to speed-up the passage of the 2016 budget to provide the funds to complete the projects.