Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

September 10, 2018

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 35)

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Latest data from the CBN shows that Nigeria’s external reserves fell significantly in August 2018. As at the end of July, the reserve stood at $47.11 billion; it dropped to $45.83 billion by August 23– losing as much as $1.23 billion in the month. The CBN’s continuous intervention along with affected foreign investment premised around political uncertainties, may have triggered the decline in reserves.  Policy actions that relay a message of future political stability and conducive business environment amid politicking for 2019 elections is critical to sustaining short-medium term investment flows.




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The external reserve increased week-on-week by 2 percent to $26.3 billion on January 6, 2017. The increase was likely triggered by continued marginal rise in crude oil price, which moderated oil revenue in the review week. The recent rise in crude oil price is likely to be maintained in the short term given the recent oil production cut deal by OPEC members. Thus, the Nigerian government should target short term increase in crude oil production to fully take advantage of Nigerias exemption from oil production cut and potential rise in oil prices.