Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

September 3, 2018

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 31)

Data from the NBS on mining and quarrying in Nigeria show an increase in the quantity of solid minerals produced in 2017. Precisely, Nigeria produced 45.75 million tons of solid minerals in 20171 – up by 5.2 percent Year-on-Year. Disaggregated by states, Ogun state produced the largest tons of about 51 percent of total solid […]

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Data from the NBS on mining and quarrying in Nigeria show an increase in the quantity of solid minerals produced in 2017. Precisely, Nigeria produced 45.75 million tons of solid minerals in 20171 – up by 5.2 percent Year-on-Year. Disaggregated by states, Ogun state produced the largest tons of about 51 percent of total solid minerals, followed by Kogi and Abuja with 11 and 10 percent respectively. By type, granite and limestone were the most produced solid minerals, representing 38 percent and 31 percent of total tons respectively. The increase in production of solid mineral may have been triggered by improved demand for raw materials needed to produce end-products like cement – given the commissioning of the Okpella factory in 20172




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Africa Economic Update (Issue 4)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised down growth forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa by 0.2 percentage points, while retaining growth estimates for Nigeria and South Africa in 2017. Precisely, growth rate forecast for Africa was reduced from 2.8 percent in January 2017 forecast to 2.6 percent in April 2017 forecast while growth estimates were retained at 0.8 percent for both South Africa and Nigeria. In contrast, global economic growth outlook was increased by 0.4 percentage points from 3.1 percent to 3.5 percent within the same period. Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is hampered by adverse cyclical and supply side factors, weak fiscal buffers and rising public debt amongst non-commodity exporters as well as severe drought was experienced in Eastern and Southern Africa

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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 24)

Crude oil price increased, in the week under review, to its highest price in 2016. Nigerias bonny light increased by $1.38 from $48.02 per barrel on May 20, 2016 to $49.64 per barrel on May 27, 2016, while Brent crude was sold for $50 per barrel on May 26, 2016. The catalyst for price gains in the period under review is the supply-side contractions, with unplanned production shortages in Nigeria, Canada and Iraq. The upward trend of prices may unlock more supplies in subsequent weeks, but the OPEC meeting scheduled for June 2, 2016, could moderate the effect. Nigeria is expected to benefit from crude oil price rising above the $38 per barrel benchmark. Unfortunately, supply disruptions continue to negatively affect oil revenue and may have contributed to the depletion of external reserve by over $153 millionthis week. The federal government, in collaboration with relevant security agencies, should find a lasting solution to the vandalism of oil pipelines and production facilities.