Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

August 2, 2018

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 27)

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Analysis of transactions at the stock market for the month ended May 2018 reveals an increase in the total transaction by a significant 50 percent. From N212.2 billion recorded in April to N318.3 billion in May 20181. Foreign transactions also increased by 57 percent to N193 billion and accounted for 61 percent of total transactions at the bourse. Similarly, domestic investment increased by 40 percent to N125 billion with a 49 percent share of total transactions. With a growing foreign investors’ participation, foreign portfolio investment outperformed domestic investment by 21.3 percent, and for the second consecutive month




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Multidimensional Impact Evaluation:

Ending (extreme) poverty in all of its forms everywhere around the world continues to dominate the International Development Agenda (UN 2015). However, while poverty is declining in much of the developing world, data from the World Development Report (WDR) Conflict, Security, and Development reveal that fragile and conflict-affected states are lagging behind. The report points out that 'Poverty rates are 20 percentage points higher in countries affected by repeated cycles of violence over the last three decades. Indeed, with the worlds extreme poor over represented in fragile and conflict-affected ,some authors argue that violent conflict is development in reverse

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 8)

The falling tide in the international value of Naira experienced a reversal in the review week with naira appreciating significantly by 11 percent from N516/$ on February 17, 2017 to N460/$ on February 24, 2017 at the parallel market the first appreciation since December 2016. The recent rise in naira value was driven by forex supply-demand gap closure, sequel to improvements in dollar liquidity. The recent CBN Special intervention (e.g. the auction and sale of $370 million and $1.5 million respectively, by the apex bank during the week) and its revised forex policy guidelinescontributed in dousing speculations in the parallel market, thus gradually narrowing the margin between the interbank and parallel market rates. Given that the sustainability of naira appreciation is strongly hinged on the improvement in foreign reserve which is largely dependent on crude oil sales, the government should continue its efforts at calming tensions in the Niger Delta region.