Media highlights show that recent figures from the Nigeria Investment Promotion Council (NIPC) reveals a progressive inflow of capital into Nigeria. Specific figures indicate that Nigeria’s actual capital investment inflow stood at $84.3 billion as at 2018Q11, growing by 27 percent from the $66.4 billion recorded for the whole 2017 fiscal year. Notably, highlights suggest that the capital investment flows have been invested in 112 projects domiciled in 28 states in Nigeria, including the FCT. The increased capital inflow gives a fair sense of growing investors’ interest in the Nigerian economy, as well as their involvements in capital investment projects.
Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) slightly revised upward growth projections for SubSaharan Africa by 0.1 percentage point in 2017 but retained growth estimates for 2018.1 Precisely, growth estimate in the region was increased from 2.6 percent in April 2017 forecast to 2.7 percent in July 2017 forecast, while it was retained at 3.5 percent for 2018. The slight upward revision in 2017 is attributable to an upgrade in South Africas growth prospect from 0.8 percent in April 2017 to 1.0 percent in July 2017. Despite the upward 2017 revision, 2018 forecast for South Africa was revised down from 1.6 percent in April 2017 to 1.2 percent in July 2017. Growth forecast for Nigeria remained unchanged at 0.8 percent and 1.9 percent for 2017 and 2018 respectively.
Nigerias Bonny light price declined by 7.1 percent from $40.19 per barrel on March 24, 2016 to $37.32 per barrel on April 1, 20162. OPEC weekly basket price also decreased by 3 percent from $35.81 per barrel to $34.74 per barrel within the same period3. The remerged downward trend in crude oil price is traceable to concerns over the likely failure of the oil production freeze deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran4. The outcome of the oil production freeze meeting which is scheduled to hold on April 17, 2016, will give further direction for oil supply regulation.
The paper highlights the importance of oil sector transparency in order to support governments push towards structural reforms and inclusive growth.