Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates

October 23, 2014

Nigeria Economic Review (First Half Report 2014)

Globally,
advanced economies showed strong signs of recovery during 2014H1 despite the
adverse effect of the severe winter (especially on the United States economy)
while economic activities slowed and growth was below projection in emerging
and developing economies.

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Total
federally collected revenue increased to N2.42 trillion in 2014Q1 compared to
N2.20 trillion in 2013Q4 as a result of a significant increase in crude oil and
gas exports to some countries like India, Malaysia and China. Also, the federal
government consistently incurred fiscal deficit from 2013Q1 to 2014Q1; the
level of deficit increased drastically in 2013Q4 and was sustained through 2014Q1.

Inflation
rate remained within the Central Banks target (6 9 percent) for 2014
although it ticked up marginally from 7.7 percent in February to 8.0 percent in
May. Inflationary pressures are expected in the second half of the year but it
is expected that monetary policies and supply-side interventions can be used to
cushion the effect.




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Nigeria Economic Review (First Half Report 2015)

The modest growth in the global output witnessed in the first quarter of 2015 was driven mainly by advanced economies, particularly the United States. Growth slowed down significantly in emerging and developing economies, primarily natural resource-dependent countries which were adversely affected by falling commodity prices.

Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 5)

The Naira continued to depreciate in the review week. At the parallel market, naira exchanged for N498/$ on January 27, 2017 and N500/$ on February 3, 2017. Despite the weekly sales of forex to BDCs and the significant improvements in the external reserves, the naira has continued to lose value to other currencies. The pressure on the naira has been triggered by escalating scarcity of forex in the spot market, likely due to forex hoarding. However, in the preceding week, the CBN sold $660 million in forwards contract in an attempt to manage liquidity and stabilize the naira. In the face of growing speculation in the parallel market, the monetary authority should institute mechanisms that would discourage excessive forex hoarding among licensed BDC operators. An initiative that monitors transaction dealings in the parallel market would go a long way in detecting erring BDC operators.