Macroeconomic Report & Economic Updates
September 19, 2017
Nigeria Economic Review
The
global economy grew by 2.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016 (2016Q4)
relative to 2.5 percent in 2016Q3, due to rising investment and consumption
demands in developed and emerging economies as well as a rise in commodity
prices. However, over the entire year, global GDP growth stood at 2.6 percent in
2016, relative to the growth of 3.09 percent recorded in 2015. Notably, output grew
progressively in the US over the year, while the steady growth recorded in the
UK since the start of the year stalled in 2016Q4. Also, the declining growth
recorded in France since 2015 took a positive turn in 2016Q4, the rest of the
Eurozone witnessed a fall in output in the quarter. While emerging economies
recorded mixed experiences, many Sub-Saharan African countries showed signs of
recovery in the period.
Related
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 10)
Nigerias inflation rate remained above
CBNs bandwidth of 6-9 per cent. Specifically, the inflation rate increased
slightly from 9.55 percent in December 2015 to 9.62 percent in January 20165.
The Core sub-index remains the main driver of inflation in Nigeria. The higher
prices of items in the Core sub-index such as clothing and foot wears are
reflective of higher domestic production costs as a result of the decline in the
value of the naira relative to the dollar. However, in the period, the price
increase was moderated by the stable price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS). Going
forward, without any sustainable policy measure to prevent the further
depreciation of the naira, inflation may exceed the current single digit
inflation rate in the near term.