As Nigeria is currently witnessing an economic and fiscal crisis, the need for evidence-based and timely research to guide policymakers in making informed decisions have become ever more useful. CSEA, as a leading think tank in Africa, with proximity to policymakers in the capital city of Abuja, is increasingly repositioning itself to track and analyse key developments in the Nigerian economy, and provide actionable recommendations. Thus the centre has strengthened its organizational structure, research capacity and quality, as well as its dissemination strategy to ensure that policy-relevant research is continuously channeled into the policy space
Annual Report
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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 24)
Crude
oil price increased, in the week under review, to its highest price in 2016. Nigerias
bonny light increased by $1.38 from $48.02 per barrel on May 20, 2016 to $49.64
per barrel on May 27, 2016, while Brent crude was sold for $50 per
barrel on May 26, 2016. The catalyst for price gains in the period
under review is the supply-side contractions, with unplanned production shortages
in Nigeria, Canada and Iraq. The upward trend of prices may unlock
more supplies in subsequent weeks, but the OPEC meeting scheduled for June 2,
2016, could moderate the effect. Nigeria is expected to benefit from crude oil
price rising above the $38 per barrel benchmark. Unfortunately, supply
disruptions continue to negatively affect oil revenue and may have contributed
to the depletion of external reserve by over $153 millionthis
week. The federal government, in collaboration with relevant security agencies,
should find a lasting solution to the vandalism of oil pipelines and production
facilities.
Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 1)
GDP growth rate
increased marginally by 2.84 percent in Q3 2015 from 2.35 percent in the preceding
quarter. Nominal GDP increased to N24.3 million from N22.9 million in the
preceding quarter. Growth in this period was attributed to the improved
performance of the non-oil sector which grew by 3.05 percent. The Sectoral disaggregation shows
that the Services and Agricultural sectors grew by 3.97 and 3.46 percent respectively,
while the Manufacturing sector shrank by 1.75 percent.