Policy Brief & Alerts

October 18, 2012

Budget 2013 And The Drive Towards Inclusive Economic Growth

This
brief examines Nigerias Budget 2013, entitled Budget of Fiscal Consolidation
with Inclusive Growth and highlights key sectoral allocations of the budget
and their targets.

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Publication Date:October, 2012

Document Size: 5pages


The budget proposal for fiscal year 2013 was presented to the joint session of the national assemblyby President Goodluck Jonathan on October 10, 2012. Titled Budget of Fiscal Consolidation withInclusive Growth, the budget proposal is tied to the 2013-2015 Medium Term ExpenditureFramework (MTEF) which provides the fiscal path for the next three years. Table 1 shows that thetotal expenditure of N4.92trn is 4.8% higher than the approved expenditure for 2012 while the totalrevenue accruable to the federal government is projected at N3.89trn, 9.2% higher than the budgetedN3.56trn in 2012. Juxtaposing the planned expenditure and projected revenue for 2013, thegovernment hopes to reduce the fiscal deficit to 2.17% of GDP as against 2.85% of GDP in 2012.However, the amount set aside for debt servicing increased by 5.7% to N591bn. A break-down of theexpenditure shows that a total of N1.54trn is projected to be spent on capital projects compared toN1.34trn in 2012 while recurrent expenditure is down marginally by 0.6% to N2.41trn. Statutorytransfers are down by 4.5% to N380bn from N398bn in 2012.




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Nigeria Economic Update (Issue 13)

OPEC basket price increased (Week-on-Week) by 1.6 percent to $49.45 per barrel on March 31, 2017- the first increase recorded in three weeks. Also, Bonny light rose by 4.7 percent to $51.92 per barrel. The rise in crude oil prices reflects demand-side expansion, consequent upon a myriad of factors: slower rise in USA crude reserves, huge supply disruptions in Libya, and the prospective extension of OPEC supply cut deals in member countries. The strengthening of crude oil price amid calm in the Niger Delta oil region, presents positive outlook for the Nigerian economy. However, given the adverse implications of sole dependence on crude oil revenue, the government should avoid returning to the norm and make efforts to intensify investments in other key sectors of the economy